Disruptions are dangerous events in tokamaks that require mitigation methods to alleviate its detrimental effects. A prerequisite to trigger any mitigation action is the existence of a reliable disruption predictor. This article assesses a predictor that relates in a linear way consecutive samples of a single quantity (in particular, the magnetic perturbation time derivative signal has been used). With this kind of predictor, the recognition of disruptions does not depend on how large the signal amplitude is but on how large the signal increments are: small increments mean smooth plasma evolution whereas abrupt increments reflect a non-smooth evolution and potential risk of disruption. Results are presented with data from the JT-60U tokamak and high-beta discharges. Two training methods have been tested: a classical approach in which the more data for training the better and an adaptive method that starts from scratch. In both cases the success rate is about 95%. It should be noted that predictors based on signal increments and their adaptive versions can be of big interest for next devices such as JT-60SA or ITER.
The development of the Internet of Things (IoT) benefits from 1) the connections between devices equipped with multiple sensors; 2) wireless networks and; 3) processing and analysis of the gathered data. The growing interest in the use of IoT technologies has led to the development of numerous diverse applications, many of which are based on the knowledge of the end user's location and profile. This paper investigates the characterization of Bluetooth signals behavior using 12 different supervised learning algorithms as a first step toward the development of fingerprint-based localization mechanisms. We then explore the use of metaheuristics to determine the best radio power transmission setting evaluated in terms of accuracy and mean error of the localization mechanism. We further tune-up the supervised algorithm hyperparameters. A comparative evaluation of the 12 supervised learning and two metaheuristics algorithms under two different system parameter settings provide valuable insights into the use and capabilities of the various algorithms on the development of indoor localization mechanisms.
Detecting disruptions with sufficient anticipation time is essential to undertake any form of remedial strategy, mitigation or avoidance. Traditional predictors based on machine learning techniques can be very performing, if properly optimised, but do not provide a natural estimate of the quality of their outputs and they typically age very quickly. In this paper a new set of tools, based on probabilistic extensions of support vector machines (SVM), are introduced and applied for the first time to JET data. The probabilistic output constitutes a natural qualification of the prediction quality and provides additional flexibility. An adaptive training strategy 'from scratch' has also been devised, which allows preserving the performance even when the experimental conditions change significantly. Large JET databases of disruptions, covering entire campaigns and thousands of discharges, have been analysed, both for the case of the graphite and the ITER Like Wall. Performance significantly better than any previous predictor using adaptive training has been achieved, satisfying even the requirements of the next generation of devices. The adaptive approach to the training has also provided unique information about the evolution of the operational space. The fact that the developed tools give the probability of disruption improves the interpretability of the results, provides an estimate of the predictor quality and gives new insights into the physics. Moreover, the probabilistic treatment permits to insert more easily these classifiers into general decision support and control systems.